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@ercens

Expert in

First trade Apr 8, 20260x8419…4d80View on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 42nd pct
Edge: 34th pct
Win Rate: 50th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 44th pct
Downside Risk: 63rd pct
Track Record: 68th pct

Volume traded

$79,197.76

Predictions

152

Rank

—

Win rate

46.7%

Fees charged: $705.71
Fee refunds: $491.21
Fees paid: $214.50
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$236.90

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-10 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

152 total

Market				To win
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-04-23? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	399	$271.46—	—	-$182.82Timeline
Randers FC vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5 No positionClosed	59.0¢—	287	$169.49—	—	-$100.00Timeline
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini No positionClosed	57.0¢—	603	$343.84—	—	+$92.40Timeline
Madrid Open: Dalma Galfi vs Anna Kalinskaya No positionClosed	65.0¢—	355	$230.77—	—	-$150.00Timeline
Rome: Andrea Guerrieri vs Arthur Fery No positionClosed	60.2¢—	305	$183.68—	—	-$110.50Timeline
Madrid Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Ethan Quinn No positionClosed	19.0¢—	1,108	$210.53—	—	-$40.00Timeline
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristian No positionClosed	21.4¢—	544	$116.61—	—	-$25.00Timeline
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovic No positionClosed	45.1¢—	320	$144.24—	—	+$58.00Timeline
Madrid Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton Fucsovics No positionClosed	50.0¢—	140	$70—	—	-$35.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET No positionClosed	41.0¢—	297	$121.95—	—	-$50.00Timeline