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@ember2000

Expert in

First trade Feb 26, 20260x855d…9650View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 72nd pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 81st pct
Max Drawdown: 90th pct
Consistency: 93rd pct
Downside Risk: 89th pct
Track Record: 52nd pct

Volume traded

$1,376.63

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

71.9%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $88.31

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 22:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

66 total

Market				To win
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No	70.0¢—	14	$10$12.64	$14.28	+$2.64Timeline
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No	59.0¢—	17	$9.99$14.40	$16.94	+$4.40Timeline
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	17	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win? No positionClosed	60.9¢—	82	$49.98—	—	+$32.09Timeline
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	15	$10—	—	+$4.70Timeline
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	14	$10—	—	+$4.28Timeline
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30? No positionClosed	68.0¢—	9	$6.12—	—	-$6.12Timeline
Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? No positionClosed	63.9¢—	78	$49.98—	—	+$28.20Timeline
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	14	$10—	—	+$4.08Timeline
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	39	$29.98—	—	+$8.96Timeline