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@e534

Expert in

First trade Aug 25, 20240xa6ec…76ecView on PolymarketUpdated 36d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 71st pct
Edge: 50th pct
Win Rate: 88th pct
Consistency: 96th pct
Downside Risk: 71st pct
Track Record: 48th pct

Volume traded

$109,184.79

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

81.5%

Fees charged: $0.03
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.03
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $55.78

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-28 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

55 total

Market				To win
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No	99.4¢—	11	$10.80$10.85	$10.87	+$0.05Timeline
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	47	$46.83—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	3	$2.75—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	10	$9.56—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the top US Netflix show this week? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	1	$1.22—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will "Tony H.: Man of the People" be the top US Netflix show this week? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.79—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will "The Witness" be the top US Netflix show this week? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.98—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.68—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.60—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	2	$1.50—	—	+$0.00Timeline