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@donaldpumper

Expert in

First trade Jan 23, 20250xdf02…7d31View on PolymarketUpdated 7d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 23rd pct
Edge: 32nd pct
Win Rate: 5th pct
Consistency: 25th pct
Track Record: 25th pct

Volume traded

$182,729.28

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

15.8%

Fees charged: $144.82
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $144.82
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,891.07

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-07 09:55:52 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

19 total

Market				To win
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No positionClosed	18.0¢—	6,602	$1,187.77—	—	-$1,226.73Timeline
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? No positionClosed	2.9¢—	13,333	$390.65—	—	-$409.61Timeline
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? No positionClosed	15.6¢—	24,425	$3,800.57—	—	+$3,069.14Timeline
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	2,146	$150—	—	+$275.87Timeline
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? No positionClosed	22.1¢—	10,222	$2,253.86—	—	+$387.77Timeline
X banned in U.K. by March 31? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	2,950	$499.99—	—	-$499.99Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 28? No positionClosed	3.4¢—	588	$20—	—	-$20.00Timeline
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? No positionClosed	4.6¢—	2,402	$110—	—	-$110.00Timeline
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? No positionClosed	4.7¢—	1,158,304	$54,324.47—	—	-$1,790.15Timeline
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? No positionClosed	17.1¢—	37,226	$6,350.71—	—	-$536.70Timeline