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@dionli

Expert in

First trade Dec 2, 20240x6a47…6b59View on PolymarketUpdated 62d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 62nd pct
Win Rate: 8th pct
Consistency: 32nd pct
Track Record: 16th pct

Volume traded

$96,290.69

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

25.0%

Fees charged: $0.06
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.06
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $96.98

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 13:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

13 total

Market				To win
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No	95.8¢—	30	$28.74$29.75	$30	+$1.01Timeline
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No positionClosed	73.6¢—	29,959	$22,050—	—	+$154.35Timeline
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No positionClosed	19.6¢—	66,759	$13,100—	—	-$68.49Timeline
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? No positionClosed	19.9¢—	63,317	$12,600—	—	+$63.00Timeline
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025? No positionClosed	24.0¢—	130	$31.20—	—	-$31.20Timeline
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10? No positionClosed	31.0¢—	135	$41.94—	—	+$28.94Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	625	$50—	—	-$4.00Timeline
Pacers vs. Heat No positionClosed	54.0¢—	141	$76.30—	—	-$41.20Timeline
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	49	$48.38—	—	-$0.05Timeline
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? No positionClosed	99.0¢—	49	$48.03—	—	-$0.05Timeline