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@difrt

Expert in

First trade Mar 24, 20250x44d4…e6bbView on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 55th pct
Win Rate: 97th pct
Max Drawdown: 93rd pct
Consistency: 90th pct
Track Record: 44th pct

Volume traded

$13,075.46

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

97.7%

Fees charged: $0.13
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0.13
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $109.72

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 04:22:37 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

46 total

Market				To win
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No	96.8¢—	10	$10$10.08	$10.33	+$0.08Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? NoClosed	98.8¢$1.00	19	$19$19.23	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	22	$22—	—	+$0.06Timeline
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	22	$21.56—	—	-$0.08Timeline
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	19	$19.08—	—	+$0.07Timeline
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	11	$11.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	14	$14.10—	—	+$0.09Timeline
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	14	$14.01—	—	+$0.01Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No positionClosed	99.1¢—	22	$22.20—	—	+$0.19Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.0¢—	11	$11.22—	—	+$0.13Timeline