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@difficaltlife

Expert in

First trade Feb 12, 20260xa56a…b58aView on PolymarketUpdated 101d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 87th pct
Edge: 96th pct
Win Rate: 96th pct
Max Drawdown: 83rd pct
Consistency: 92nd pct
Track Record: 42nd pct

Volume traded

$24,409.87

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

95.0%

Fees charged: $102.77
Fee refunds: $86.62
Fees paid: $16.15
Maker rebates: $10.48
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $2,438.31

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

45 total

Market				To win
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No	95.0¢—	21	$20$20.41	$21.05	+$0.41Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No	96.3¢—	21	$20$20.32	$20.77	+$0.32Timeline
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18? No positionClosed	89.6¢—	4,474	$4,010—	—	+$415.10Timeline
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	11	$10.34—	—	+$0.20Timeline
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? No positionClosed	97.4¢—	21	$20.53—	—	+$0.39Timeline
Spurs vs. Timberwolves No positionClosed	67.0¢—	7,462	$5,000.08—	—	+$1,649.47Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	31	$28.72—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? No positionClosed	96.0¢—	22	$20.83—	—	+$0.40Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	21	$20.26—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Trump out as President before 2027? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	14	$11.90—	—	+$0.71Timeline