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@dfggy

Expert in

First trade Apr 12, 20260x2b93…cdecView on PolymarketUpdated 103d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 80th pct
Edge: 89th pct
Win Rate: 46th pct
Max Drawdown: 74th pct
Consistency: 96th pct
Downside Risk: 76th pct
Track Record: 54th pct

Volume traded

$44,510.42

Predictions

103

Rank

—

Win rate

47.9%

Fees charged: $410.94
Fee refunds: $285.10
Fees paid: $125.83
Maker rebates: $18.75
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $615.87

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

80 total

Market				To win
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	1.7¢1.7¢	588	$10$9.71	$588.24	-$0.29Timeline
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes	3.2¢2.9¢	156	$5$4.53	$156.25	-$0.47Timeline
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No	84.0¢—	12	$10$10.54	$11.90	+$0.54Timeline
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	3.2¢—	4,883	$156.25—	—	-$0.16Timeline
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	2.5¢—	6,400	$160—	—	-$0.32Timeline
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? YesClosed	66.0¢$1.00	15	$10$15.15	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	15.9¢—	629	$100—	—	-$0.10Timeline
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in June? NoClosed	98.0¢$1.00	20	$19.60$20	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? No positionClosed	94.0¢—	11	$10.64—	—	+$0.64Timeline
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May? No positionClosed	59.0¢—	34	$20—	—	-$0.40Timeline