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@dfg586

Expert in

First trade Jan 31, 20260x3d98…e98bView on PolymarketUpdated 10d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 86th pct
Edge: 41st pct
Win Rate: 59th pct
Max Drawdown: 86th pct
Consistency: 88th pct
Track Record: 25th pct

Volume traded

$15,576.36

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

66.7%

Fees charged: $0.75
Fee refunds: $0.31
Fees paid: $0.44
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $2,032.93

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 23:49:28 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

19 total

Market				To win
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? No positionClosed	92.3¢—	6	$5.43—	—	+$0.42Timeline
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	37	$30—	—	+$5.16Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? No positionClosed	95.3¢—	21	$20—	—	+$0.87Timeline
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	86.4¢—	58	$50—	—	+$5.38Timeline
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	90.3¢—	9	$8—	—	+$0.78Timeline
Will Trump visit China by May 31? No positionClosed	96.1¢—	21	$20—	—	+$0.79Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No positionClosed	95.7¢—	21	$20—	—	+$0.86Timeline
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April? No positionClosed	74.5¢—	40	$29.97—	—	+$15.29Timeline
Ducks vs. Predators No positionClosed	52.0¢—	20	$10.40—	—	-$10.40Timeline
Magic vs. Pelicans No positionClosed	36.0¢—	10	$3.53—	—	-$3.53Timeline