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@dcfrg

Expert in

First trade Jan 9, 20260x2186…53a1View on PolymarketUpdated 5d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 27th pct
Edge: 18th pct
Win Rate: 17th pct
Consistency: 58th pct
Downside Risk: 39th pct
Track Record: 68th pct

Volume traded

$239,828.16

Predictions

144

Rank

—

Win rate

23.4%

Fees charged: $256.09
Fee refunds: $208.28
Fees paid: $47.81
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,277.19

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 13:03:07 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

145 total

Market				To win
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	704	$699.65—	—	-$0.79Timeline
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	105	$104.10—	—	-$0.17Timeline
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	928	$922.91—	—	-$1.40Timeline
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	1,538	$1,527.66—	—	-$1.97Timeline
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	134	$132.82—	—	-$0.21Timeline
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	1,261	$1,253.42—	—	-$1.33Timeline
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	364	$362.34—	—	-$0.55Timeline
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	185	$185.01—	—	-$0.19Timeline
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	238	$236.14—	—	-$0.36Timeline
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	205	$203.32—	—	-$0.31Timeline