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@csdr34

Expert in

First trade Oct 14, 20240x7cc9…34e0View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 76th pct
Edge: 69th pct
Win Rate: 97th pct
Max Drawdown: 73rd pct
Consistency: 74th pct
Downside Risk: 90th pct
Track Record: 50th pct

Volume traded

$11,246.44

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

94.8%

Fees charged: $2.28
Fee refunds: $0.81
Fees paid: $1.47
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $228.13

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 06:22:43 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

59 total

Market				To win
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? YesClosed	98.4¢$1.00	79	$78$79.26	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	82	$81.14—	—	+$1.06Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No positionClosed	96.4¢—	172	$166.15—	—	+$2.80Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	98.9¢—	123	$121.35—	—	+$1.35Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? No positionClosed	97.8¢—	188	$184.05—	—	+$4.05Timeline
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	95	$92.31—	—	-$90.09Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	203	$201.72—	—	+$1.65Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	185	$182.56—	—	+$2.46Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	195	$191.25—	—	+$3.25Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	98.1¢—	166	$163.10—	—	+$3.10Timeline