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@chaedeluv

Expert in

First trade Jan 14, 20250x67b2…a28dView on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 59th pct
Edge: 77th pct
Win Rate: 26th pct
Consistency: 44th pct
Track Record: 42nd pct

Volume traded

$19,517.89

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

37.5%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$8.65

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 16:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

41 total

Market				To win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes	8.5¢4.1¢	—	—$0	$0.12	-$0.01Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	83.0¢—	410	$340—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	2.2¢—	43,727	$962—	—	-$0.96Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	72.5¢—	539	$391—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	98.3¢—	293	$288—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? No positionClosed	93.9¢—	353	$331—	—	+$0.66Timeline
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	84.1¢—	440	$370—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	95.8¢—	89	$85—	—	-$0.17Timeline
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	1.1¢—	54,909	$604—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	5.3¢—	19,698	$1,044—	—	+$0.00Timeline