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@cemwayne

Expert in

First trade Apr 6, 20260x9f33…da59View on PolymarketUpdated 48d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 38th pct
Edge: 9th pct
Win Rate: 77th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 8th pct
Downside Risk: 16th pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$17,172.22

Predictions

420

Rank

—

Win rate

61.0%

Fees charged: $67.45
Fee refunds: $6.56
Fees paid: $60.90
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$428.15

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

420 total

Market				To win
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? Yes	17.5¢13.5¢	57	$10$7.70	$57.06	-$2.30Timeline
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes	27.4¢19.4¢	18	$5$3.53	$18.25	-$1.47Timeline
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	10	$8.46—	—	-$8.46Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	10	$8.53—	—	+$1.02Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14? No positionClosed	57.0¢—	15	$8.77—	—	+$2.57Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14? No positionClosed	24.6¢—	20	$4.90—	—	-$4.90Timeline
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14? No positionClosed	58.0¢—	9	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13? No positionClosed	52.1¢—	29	$15.30—	—	+$7.33Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12? No positionClosed	34.7¢—	14	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12? No positionClosed	35.4¢—	14	$5—	—	-$5.00Timeline