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@cdwag

Expert in

First trade Nov 16, 20250x10da…6962View on PolymarketUpdated 60d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 39th pct
Edge: 9th pct
Win Rate: 8th pct
Consistency: 25th pct
Track Record: 31st pct

Volume traded

$102,599.02

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

20.0%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$372.77

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-16 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

25 total

Market				To win
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	5.0¢—	4,000	$200—	—	-$2.78Timeline
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	0.6¢—	166,667	$1,000—	—	+$2.00Timeline
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	0.8¢—	125,000	$1,000—	—	+$3.00Timeline
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	4.3¢—	4,651	$200—	—	+$3.00Timeline
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	0.9¢—	133,333	$1,200—	—	-$1.20Timeline
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	0.5¢—	12,000	$60—	—	-$60.00Timeline
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	2.0¢—	175,006	$3,499.94—	—	-$3.50Timeline
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	0.5¢—	799,971	$3,999.86—	—	-$4.00Timeline
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	61	$50—	—	+$7.08Timeline
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? No positionClosed	1.4¢—	800	$11.20—	—	-$11.20Timeline