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@capricecrane

Expert in

First trade Oct 11, 20240xe63c…d08fView on PolymarketUpdated 99d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 67th pct
Edge: 22nd pct
Win Rate: 10th pct
Consistency: 12th pct
Downside Risk: 70th pct
Track Record: 49th pct

Volume traded

$49,448.22

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

19.6%

Fees charged: $4.27
Fee refunds: $2.82
Fees paid: $1.46
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $14.16

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 19:21:49 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

56 total

Market				To win
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	12	$11.88—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	15	$14.67—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	14	$14.37—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	13	$13.01—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	15	$14.57—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	13	$12.69—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	12	$12.24—	—	-$0.01Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	18	$17.87—	—	-$0.02Timeline
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	23	$23.39—	—	+$0.05Timeline
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	19	$18.97—	—	-$0.02Timeline