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@caiobar

Expert in

First trade Oct 4, 20240xd1d2…2be9View on PolymarketUpdated 62d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 19th pct
Edge: 32nd pct
Win Rate: 46th pct
Consistency: 21st pct
Downside Risk: 32nd pct
Track Record: 83rd pct

Volume traded

$132,457.55

Predictions

479

Rank

—

Win rate

41.3%

Fees charged: $1,464.36
Fee refunds: $1,084.97
Fees paid: $379.39
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$2,885.34

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-21 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

479 total

Market				To win
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? No positionClosed	32.0¢—	781	$250—	—	-$70.00Timeline
Will England win on 2026-07-01? No positionClosed	42.0¢—	800	$336.07—	—	+$194.92Timeline
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	15.0¢—	889	$133.33—	—	+$113.20Timeline
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	10.0¢—	150	$15—	—	-$15.00Timeline
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? No positionClosed	27.0¢—	293	$79—	—	-$79.00Timeline
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? No positionClosed	21.0¢—	286	$60—	—	-$60.00Timeline
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? No positionClosed	29.0¢—	266	$77.16—	—	-$77.16Timeline
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	575	$270.21—	—	+$143.21Timeline
Colombia leading at halftime? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	296	$103.69—	—	-$103.69Timeline
Edo Kayembe: 1+ goals No positionClosed	14.1¢—	2,514	$354.56—	—	-$44.27Timeline

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@caiobar

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@caiobar

Why this trader grades D

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