0 followers

@butterflyefect

Expert in

First trade Oct 12, 20250x22de…67faView on PolymarketUpdated 56d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 57th pct
Win Rate: 92nd pct
Max Drawdown: 96th pct
Consistency: 86th pct
Downside Risk: 85th pct
Track Record: 66th pct

Volume traded

$38,571.03

Predictions

133

Rank

—

Win rate

82.7%

Fees charged: $310.86
Fee refunds: $140.15
Fees paid: $170.71
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,217.83

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

133 total

Market				To win
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? No positionClosed	96.1¢—	217	$208.12—	—	+$7.60Timeline
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance No positionClosed	44.2¢—	219	$96.70—	—	-$96.70Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET No positionClosed	26.0¢—	1,025	$266.44—	—	-$8.21Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET No positionClosed	97.3¢—	16	$15.41—	—	+$0.41Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET No positionClosed	87.7¢—	136	$119.67—	—	+$14.68Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET No positionClosed	92.1¢—	88	$81.46—	—	+$6.46Timeline
Will France win on 2026-07-09? No positionClosed	62.7¢—	252	$158.20—	—	+$55.76Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET No positionClosed	90.0¢—	6	$5.56—	—	-$1.22Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET No positionClosed	82.8¢—	15	$12.08—	—	+$2.08Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET No positionClosed	93.0¢—	12	$10.76—	—	+$0.65Timeline

+123 more predictions

Create an account to see every prediction this wallet made, sorted and filtered your way.

Create account

Have an account? Sign in

Insights

Wallet funding

See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

Loading funding evidence…

See every trade, P&L breakdown, and strategy this trader runs. Free to start.

Create an account

Net trading P&L

All-Time

Wallet funding

See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

Loading funding evidence…

@butterflyefect

Net trading P&L

Insights

Wallet funding

Other tracked wallets

Other tracked wallets

Net trading P&L

Insights

Wallet funding

@butterflyefect

Why this trader grades C

Net trading P&L

Positions

Insights

Wallet funding

Other tracked wallets

Other tracked wallets

Net trading P&L

Positions

Insights

Wallet funding