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@bluedigits

Expert in

First trade Feb 4, 20260xf566…8352View on PolymarketUpdated 39d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 45th pct
Edge: 69th pct
Win Rate: 48th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 15th pct
Downside Risk: 35th pct
Track Record: 61st pct

Volume traded

$8,743.60

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

47.6%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$152.23

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

105 total

Market				To win
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No	70.6¢—	5	$5$5.17	$5.19	+$1.50Timeline
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No	57.0¢—	8	$4.74$5.61	$8.31	+$0.87Timeline
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 8? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	60	$30—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	40	$20—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	120	$60—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 7? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	60	$30—	—	+$0.00Timeline
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	20	$10—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	200	$100—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 10? No positionClosed	55.0¢—	36	$19.80—	—	-$19.80Timeline
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 9? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	65	$26—	—	+$15.57Timeline