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@belle90

Expert in

First trade Jan 14, 20260x89a3…436eView on PolymarketUpdated 59d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 32nd pct
Edge: 41st pct
Win Rate: 25th pct
Consistency: 34th pct
Track Record: 18th pct

Volume traded

$32,083.49

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

46.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$808.09

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-04-23 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

13 total

Market				To win
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? No positionClosed	45.5¢—	440	$200—	—	-$67.00Timeline
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? No positionClosed	43.8¢—	457	$200—	—	-$62.40Timeline
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? No positionClosed	35.8¢—	208	$74.50—	—	-$74.50Timeline
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	3,109	$2,642.35—	—	-$413.02Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? No positionClosed	10.0¢—	5,000	$500—	—	-$48.50Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? No positionClosed	69.0¢—	145	$100—	—	+$31.00Timeline
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	10,117	$10,094.39—	—	+$64.76Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	66.0¢—	1,672	$1,103.74—	—	+$33.16Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? No positionClosed	39.0¢—	657	$256.41—	—	+$156.41Timeline
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? No positionClosed	14.7¢—	23,102	$3,399.99—	—	-$435.79Timeline