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@bellathorne

Expert in

First trade Oct 27, 20250xe217…6038View on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 83rd pct
Edge: 80th pct
Win Rate: 86th pct
Max Drawdown: 93rd pct
Consistency: 91st pct
Downside Risk: 85th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$84,653.50

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

75.9%

Fees charged: $172.46
Fee refunds: $96.50
Fees paid: $75.96
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: $1,148.33

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-07 11:56:24 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

89 total

Market				To win
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes	60.0¢62.0¢	50	$30$31	$50	+$1.00Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes	75.0¢89.5¢	20	$15$17.90	$20	+$2.90Timeline
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? No positionClosed	29.0¢—	119	$34.48—	—	+$24.48Timeline
Will England win on 2026-07-11? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	50	$25—	—	-$25.00Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	4,000	$2,000—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	5.0¢—	200	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	5.2¢—	200	$10.47—	—	+$60.15Timeline
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	83	$50—	—	+$1.50Timeline
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	80.0¢—	63	$50—	—	+$10.00Timeline
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? No positionClosed	61.0¢—	67	$40.98—	—	+$15.98Timeline