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@bdc12

Expert in

First trade Dec 10, 20250xac57…65ccView on PolymarketUpdated 78d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 32nd pct
Edge: 26th pct
Win Rate: 95th pct
Consistency: 78th pct
Downside Risk: 54th pct
Track Record: 72nd pct

Volume traded

$69,405.93

Predictions

200

Rank

—

Win rate

88.4%

Fees charged: $181.03
Fee refunds: $28.20
Fees paid: $152.83
Maker rebates: $4.06
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$787.80

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-13 07:05:55 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

199 total

Market				To win
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? Yes	82.6¢89.5¢	1,500	$1,238.99$1,342.50	$1,500	+$103.51Timeline
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? Yes	78.0¢77.0¢	900	$701.99$692.99	$899.99	-$9.00Timeline
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	25.0¢21.9¢	100	$25$21.85	$100	-$3.15Timeline
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	89.0¢—	1,503	$1,337.25$1,342.66	$1,502.70	+$5.41Timeline
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	65.0¢77.5¢	198	$128.65$153.39	$197.93	+$24.74Timeline
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No	84.5¢—	530	$448.01$453.47	$530.38	+$5.46Timeline
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? Yes	80.0¢87.0¢	150	$120$130.50	$150	+$10.50Timeline
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No	90.2¢—	558	$503.54$498.63	$558.06	-$4.91Timeline
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes	2.5¢0.9¢	100	$2.50$0.85	$100	-$1.65Timeline
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	63.0¢57.5¢	20	$12.60$11.50	$20	-$1.10Timeline