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@asp-1

Expert in

First trade Apr 6, 20260x9199…1b0aView on PolymarketUpdated 11d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 31st pct
Edge: 46th pct
Win Rate: 78th pct
Consistency: 51st pct
Downside Risk: 16th pct
Track Record: 98th pct

Volume traded

$69,477.35

Predictions

5,523

Rank

—

Win rate

58.8%

Fees charged: $830.08
Fee refunds: $1.11
Fees paid: $828.97
Maker rebates: $1.29
Taker rebates: $17.39
Net realized P&L: -$916.84

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

5,523 total

Market				To win
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No	16.0¢—	7	$1.12$4.10	$7	+$2.98Timeline
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No	12.0¢—	2	$0.20$0.07	$1.64	-$0.13Timeline
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No	46.8¢—	9	$4.21$2.75	$9	-$1.46Timeline
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No	63.5¢—	8	$5.08$5.98	$8	+$0.90Timeline
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No	17.0¢—	47	$7.99$3.36	$47	-$4.63Timeline
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No	86.7¢—	9	$7.80$8.54	$9	+$0.74Timeline
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No	43.2¢—	12	$5.19$0.78	$12	-$4.41Timeline
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? No	84.0¢—	7	$5.88$7	$7	+$1.12Timeline
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No	82.3¢—	10	$8.23$9.45	$10	+$1.22Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No	30.0¢—	28	$8.40$6.02	$28	-$2.38Timeline