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@asddd

Expert in

First trade Dec 25, 20240xc6eb…8761View on PolymarketUpdated 1h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 41st pct
Edge: 7th pct
Win Rate: 21st pct
Consistency: 33rd pct
Downside Risk: 18th pct
Track Record: 63rd pct

Volume traded

$58,691.89

Predictions

108

Rank

—

Win rate

28.4%

Fees charged: $798.26
Fee refunds: $726.03
Fees paid: $72.24
Maker rebates: $35.62
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$262.71

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-12 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

112 total

Market				To win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? NoMergeable	71.0¢82.5¢	200	$142$165	—	+$23.00Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? YesMergeable	75.0¢17.5¢	200	$150$35	—	-$115.00Timeline
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes	11.0¢6.5¢	200	$22$13	$200	-$9.00Timeline
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	50	$45—	—	-$6.50Timeline
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No positionClosed	17.0¢—	291	$49.50—	—	-$1.06Timeline
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	50	$25.50—	—	-$6.97Timeline
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%? No positionClosed	81.0¢—	50	$40.50—	—	-$2.35Timeline
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No positionClosed	96.5¢—	50	$48.25—	—	-$5.24Timeline
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open? No positionClosed	46.0¢—	20	$9.20—	—	-$4.71Timeline
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ? No positionClosed	26.0¢—	20	$5.20—	—	-$0.94Timeline
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	50	$41—	—	-$0.81Timeline