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@aris33

Expert in

First trade Nov 12, 20250x477b…7b63View on PolymarketUpdated 103d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 32nd pct
Edge: 91st pct
Win Rate: 80th pct
Consistency: 98th pct
Downside Risk: 32nd pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$81,418.70

Predictions

530

Rank

—

Win rate

64.1%

Fees charged: $47.69
Fee refunds: $24.40
Fees paid: $23.29
Maker rebates: $3.96
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$790.04

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 06:22:43 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

410 total

Market				To win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 7? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	106	$49.99—	—	+$26.50Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9? No positionClosed	78.6¢—	216	$170—	—	+$35.37Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	86	$60—	—	+$2.56Timeline
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 8? No positionClosed	98.0¢—	82	$80—	—	+$1.63Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	240	$120—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	40	$20—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	160	$80—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	160	$80—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	160	$80—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET No positionClosed	50.0¢—	240	$120—	—	+$0.00Timeline

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See collateral enter and leave a tracked Polymarket wallet.

pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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Net trading P&L

All-Time

Wallet funding

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@aris33

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@aris33

Why this trader grades D

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