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@ake14243

Expert in

First trade Oct 20, 20250x7336…94b8View on PolymarketUpdated 99d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 78th pct
Edge: 79th pct
Win Rate: 34th pct
Max Drawdown: 74th pct
Consistency: 88th pct
Downside Risk: 78th pct
Track Record: 58th pct

Volume traded

$55,277.06

Predictions

130

Rank

—

Win rate

39.5%

Fees charged: $55.22
Fee refunds: $40.04
Fees paid: $15.17
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $384.99

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

89 total

Market				To win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes	3.4¢2.7¢	296	$10$7.84	$295.68	-$2.16Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? YesClosed	0.7¢0.0¢	203	$1.42$0	—	-$0.83Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? YesClosed	1.4¢0.0¢	417	$6$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? No positionClosed	4.2¢—	10,020	$417.91—	—	-$16.59Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? No positionClosed	91.0¢—	145	$131.86—	—	+$11.60Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	10.0¢—	2,000	$200—	—	-$4.08Timeline
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Jack Kennedy No positionClosed	57.3¢—	13	$7.68—	—	-$0.05Timeline
Pistons vs. Magic No positionClosed	28.4¢—	133	$37.72—	—	-$0.53Timeline
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-25? No positionClosed	37.0¢—	7	$2.70—	—	-$0.03Timeline
Will FC Twente '65 vs. NEC end in a draw? No positionClosed	78.0¢—	2	$1.28—	—	-$0.01Timeline