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@af59

Expert in

First trade Sep 20, 20250xc2f8…4ecdView on PolymarketUpdated 52d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 53rd pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 95th pct
Consistency: 52nd pct
Downside Risk: 58th pct
Track Record: 61st pct

Volume traded

$93,429.61

Predictions

107

Rank

—

Win rate

90.3%

Fees charged: $0.15
Fee refunds: $0.02
Fees paid: $0.13
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$34.79

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

107 total

Market				To win
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	99.2¢—	8	$8.34$8.39	$8.41	+$0.05Timeline
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	99.5¢—	—	—$0.13	$0.13	+$0.00Timeline
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	99.5¢—	—	—$0.18	$0.18	+$0.00Timeline
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	99.3¢—	11	$11$11.02	$11.08	+$0.02Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? No positionClosed	99.7¢—	347	$346.04—	—	+$1.04Timeline
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	99.3¢—	66	$65.51—	—	-$0.07Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	20	$20.04—	—	+$0.04Timeline
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.9¢—	20	$20.02—	—	+$0.02Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	20	$20.04—	—	+$0.04Timeline
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	20	$20.04—	—	+$0.04Timeline