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@abt2moon

Expert in

First trade Aug 5, 20250x4dc1…f6b8View on PolymarketUpdated 24d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 89th pct
Edge: 70th pct
Win Rate: 88th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 90th pct
Track Record: 42nd pct

Volume traded

$102,628.26

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

82.9%

Fees charged: $99.01
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $99.01
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $3,487.94

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

41 total

Market				To win
France vs. England: Team to Win No positionClosed	92.4¢—	108	$99.62—	—	+$7.60Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No positionClosed	72.8¢—	7,693	$5,600.18—	—	-$742.66Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	93.2¢—	11,590	$10,801.61—	—	+$734.00Timeline
Will Trump resign in 2025? NoClosed	95.4¢$1.00	2,096	$2,000$0.04	—	+$84.00Timeline
Dogecoin all time high before 2026? NoClosed	84.9¢$1.00	15,434	$13,097.71$0.03	—	+$1,903.90Timeline
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? No positionClosed	77.0¢—	4,675	$3,599.46—	—	+$827.99Timeline
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? NoClosed	57.3¢—	6,415	$3,673.13$0	—	-$226.20Timeline
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? NoClosed	58.9¢—	2,879	$1,696.61$0	—	-$100.80Timeline
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? No positionClosed	90.1¢—	3,431	$3,091.90—	—	+$305.30Timeline
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	179	$150—	—	+$24.00Timeline