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@Warmhearted-Making

Expert in

First trade Mar 2, 20260x3e22…4383View on PolymarketUpdated 14d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 52nd pct
Edge: 68th pct
Win Rate: 19th pct
Consistency: 25th pct
Track Record: 25th pct

Volume traded

$2,959.95

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

36.8%

Fees charged: $2.42
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $2.42
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$44.02

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-01 06:22:43 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

21 total

Market				To win
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? Yes	59.0¢0.1¢	10	$5.66$0.01	$9.59	-$5.65Timeline
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes	20.0¢13.5¢	88	$17.65$11.91	$88.25	-$5.74Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET No positionClosed	21.1¢—	238	$50—	—	-$10.53Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET No positionClosed	14.3¢—	20	$2.79—	—	-$2.96Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET No positionClosed	1.1¢—	47,170	$500—	—	-$5.35Timeline
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	33	$11.69—	—	+$6.11Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET No positionClosed	46.7¢—	24	$11.11—	—	-$5.19Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET No positionClosed	47.7¢—	23	$10.87—	—	+$5.67Timeline
Trump out as President by August 31? No positionClosed	0.8¢—	633	$5—	—	-$5.20Timeline
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? No positionClosed	68.1¢—	22	$14.68—	—	+$0.10Timeline