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@Vague-Tech

Expert in

First trade Apr 8, 20260x50cc…335eView on PolymarketUpdated 79d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 70th pct
Edge: 97th pct
Win Rate: 93rd pct
Max Drawdown: 74th pct
Consistency: 81st pct
Downside Risk: 77th pct
Track Record: 61st pct

Volume traded

$4,017.56

Predictions

130

Rank

—

Win rate

86.1%

Fees charged: $19.14
Fee refunds: $8.10
Fees paid: $11.04
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $45.82

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 16:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

105 total

Market				To win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	35.0¢34.5¢	29	$10$9.85	$28.57	-$0.15Timeline
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes	55.0¢39.0¢	18	$10$7.08	$18.18	-$2.92Timeline
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? YesClosed	16.0¢0.0¢	63	$10$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? NoClosed	89.0¢$1.00	11	$10$11.24	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? No positionClosed	30.0¢—	111	$33.33—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? No positionClosed	64.0¢—	24	$15.63—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	12	$10.75—	—	+$0.00Timeline
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis No positionClosed	82.0¢—	15	$12.20—	—	+$2.20Timeline
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? No positionClosed	86.0¢—	14	$11.63—	—	+$1.63Timeline
Athletics vs. Houston Astros No positionClosed	80.0¢—	16	$12.50—	—	+$2.50Timeline