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@User1000x

Expert in

First trade Oct 31, 20250x88b2…df60View on PolymarketUpdated 55d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 40th pct
Edge: 40th pct
Win Rate: 42nd pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 33rd pct
Downside Risk: 63rd pct
Track Record: 49th pct

Volume traded

$253,158.28

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

47.4%

Fees charged: $41
Fee refunds: $38.82
Fees paid: $2.18
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$300.31

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

57 total

Market				To win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	1	$1.19—	—	+$0.11Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No positionClosed	66.9¢—	1,788	$1,196.06—	—	+$288.42Timeline
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes No positionClosed	55.0¢—	1,653	$909.09—	—	+$406.41Timeline
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	10.8¢—	2,860	$310—	—	-$310.00Timeline
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No positionClosed	53.9¢—	172	$92.84—	—	-$11.93Timeline
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	1,220	$1,000—	—	-$1,000.00Timeline
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	111	$105.26—	—	+$5.26Timeline
Starmer out by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	11.4¢—	88	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? No positionClosed	65.0¢—	769	$500—	—	+$175.00Timeline
Maduro out in 2025? No positionClosed	97.3¢—	617	$600—	—	+$16.20Timeline