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@Tonylin

Expert in

First trade Jan 25, 20260xf9a4…23caView on PolymarketUpdated 51d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 44th pct
Edge: 26th pct
Win Rate: 65th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 36th pct
Downside Risk: 40th pct
Track Record: 72nd pct

Volume traded

$5,045.67

Predictions

197

Rank

—

Win rate

55.5%

Fees charged: $32.18
Fee refunds: $0.10
Fees paid: $32.09
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$162.32

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-05 21:52:58 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

197 total

Market				To win
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes	93.4¢95.9¢	21	$20$20.54	$21.41	+$0.54Timeline
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No	88.0¢—	8	$7$7.52	$7.95	+$0.52Timeline
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	3	$2.51—	—	+$0.01Timeline
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat No positionClosed	52.0¢—	37	$19.23—	—	+$9.23Timeline
Will América FC win on 2026-07-13? No positionClosed	55.0¢—	33	$18.18—	—	+$8.18Timeline
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin No positionClosed	67.0¢—	15	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Yulia Putintseva No positionClosed	50.0¢—	40	$20—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Henrique Rocha No positionClosed	56.5¢—	18	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov No positionClosed	50.0¢—	40	$20—	—	+$10.00Timeline
Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damas No positionClosed	60.0¢—	17	$10—	—	-$10.00Timeline