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@TokenTaverns

Expert in

First trade Feb 18, 20250x31b7…8280View on PolymarketUpdated 48d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 63rd pct
Edge: 46th pct
Win Rate: 37th pct
Consistency: 53rd pct
Downside Risk: 65th pct
Track Record: 63rd pct

Volume traded

$24,102.23

Predictions

112

Rank

—

Win rate

40.2%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$0.03

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-07-02 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

112 total

Market				To win
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? No positionClosed	92.1¢—	33	$30—	—	+$1.44Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No positionClosed	22.5¢—	267	$60—	—	+$4.02Timeline
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	90	$88—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No positionClosed	2.7¢—	7,148	$193—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? No positionClosed	98.5¢—	55	$54—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? NoClosed	91.5¢$1.00	104	$394$104	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? No positionClosed	88.4¢—	214	$189—	—	-$0.10Timeline
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	92.2¢—	112	$103—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No positionClosed	3.7¢—	4,514	$167—	—	-$0.10Timeline
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? No positionClosed	1.8¢—	16,167	$291—	—	+$0.00Timeline