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@Tiny-Bagpipe

Expert in

First trade Apr 18, 20260x14ec…c745View on PolymarketUpdated 10h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 86th pct
Edge: 64th pct
Win Rate: 19th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 54th pct
Downside Risk: 87th pct
Track Record: 70th pct

Volume traded

$108,360.81

Predictions

191

Rank

—

Win rate

25.0%

Fees charged: $135.09
Fee refunds: $1.08
Fees paid: $134
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: $2,074.61

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 14:58:06 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

196 total

Market				To win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 17? Yes	0.5¢0.8¢	207	$1$1.55	$207.18	+$0.55Timeline
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes	15.4¢6.6¢	1,854	$285$122.38	$1,854.17	-$162.62Timeline
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes	7.6¢2.1¢	5,288	$399.99$111.04	$5,287.64	-$288.95Timeline
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes	5.6¢2.1¢	1,067	$60$21.87	$1,066.60	-$38.13Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? No	4.0¢—	1,263	$51$25.89	$1,262.98	-$25.11Timeline
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	6.0¢4.5¢	1,017	$61$45.75	$1,016.67	-$15.25Timeline
Will Michael Morales be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes	0.4¢1.3¢	238	$1$3.09	$237.88	+$2.09Timeline
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes	7.5¢4.5¢	3,411	$255$153.48	$3,410.71	-$101.51Timeline
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No	21.2¢—	21	$4.40$3.40	$20.75	-$1.00Timeline
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes	13.0¢6.5¢	31	$4$2	$30.77	-$2.00Timeline