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@Those-Impression

Expert in

First trade Apr 6, 20260xdcde…7960View on PolymarketUpdated 12d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 7th pct
Edge: 22nd pct
Win Rate: 56th pct
Consistency: 4th pct
Downside Risk: 27th pct
Track Record: 72nd pct

Volume traded

$72,888.87

Predictions

194

Rank

—

Win rate

50.0%

Fees charged: $243.45
Fee refunds: $116.29
Fees paid: $127.16
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$12,448.61

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-12 03:27:39 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

194 total

Market				To win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No	93.0¢—	216	$201.24$200.06	$216.28	-$1.18Timeline
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes	31.8¢38.5¢	24	$7.57$9.16	$23.80	+$1.59Timeline
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes	27.8¢25.5¢	43	$11.99$10.99	$43.11	-$1.00Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? No	95.0¢—	5	$4.90$5.11	$5.16	+$0.21Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No	85.0¢—	3	$2.92$3.28	$3.44	+$0.36Timeline
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No	80.0¢—	1	$1.10$1.27	$1.37	+$0.17Timeline
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes	83.9¢83.0¢	1	$1.04$1.03	$1.24	-$0.01Timeline
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No	89.0¢—	1	$1.09$1.14	$1.23	+$0.05Timeline
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No positionClosed	97.1¢—	2	$1.98—	—	+$0.05Timeline
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? No positionClosed	90.1¢—	8	$7.25—	—	-$0.33Timeline