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@SadMax1

Expert in

First trade Apr 25, 20260xeeff…9b38View on PolymarketUpdated 65d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 84th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 33rd pct
Max Drawdown: 66th pct
Consistency: 62nd pct
Track Record: 18th pct

Volume traded

$93,368.93

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

53.8%

Fees charged: $9.46
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $9.46
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $1,352.24

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 21:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

17 total

Market				To win
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes	73.0¢89.5¢	11,450	$400$10,247.32	$11,449.52	+$1,887.53Timeline
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? YesClosed	95.5¢$1.00	1,130	$1,078.82$1,129.99	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No positionClosed	91.8¢—	2,708	$2,487.20—	—	+$108.58Timeline
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? YesClosed	80.0¢$1.00	536	$428.62$535.77	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? YesClosed	60.1¢0.0¢	2,921	$1,757.01$0	—	-$44.32Timeline
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No positionClosed	22.9¢—	29,834	$6,842.76—	—	+$69.43Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	0.2¢—	8,655,858	$16,515.38—	—	+$258.99Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	4.4¢—	4,009	$177.99—	—	-$177.99Timeline
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	20.0¢—	5,886	$1,177.11—	—	-$31.50Timeline
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No positionClosed	36.6¢—	3,546	$1,298.69—	—	-$227.66Timeline