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@PascalPro

Expert in

First trade Jan 9, 20260xe947…ab96View on PolymarketUpdated 2d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 88th pct
Edge: 89th pct
Win Rate: 78th pct
Max Drawdown: 81st pct
Consistency: 84th pct
Downside Risk: 84th pct
Track Record: 51st pct

Volume traded

$193,276.81

Predictions

200

Rank

—

Win rate

69.4%

Fees charged: $342.31
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $342.31
Maker rebates: $19.83
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: $3,064.01

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 10:58:06 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

199 total

Market				To win
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? NoMergeable	37.6¢31.5¢	13,740	$5,168.06$4,328.11	—	-$839.95Timeline
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? YesMergeable	65.8¢68.5¢	5,900	$3,883.30$4,041.22	—	+$157.92Timeline
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	93.5¢—	133	$124.53$126.73	$133.12	+$2.20Timeline
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	95.1¢—	378	$359.60$359.48	$378	-$0.13Timeline
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No	88.0¢—	482	$423.90$421.50	$481.71	-$2.41Timeline
Will Philippe Brun finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary? No	98.9¢—	70	$68.95$64.83	$69.71	-$4.12Timeline
Will Philippe Brun win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? No	99.5¢—	100	$99.50$98.60	$100	-$0.90Timeline
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No	97.7¢—	1,200	$1,172.99$1,177.79	$1,199.99	+$4.80Timeline
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	89.6¢—	5,054	$4,528$4,558.29	$5,053.54	+$30.29Timeline
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	94.0¢—	300	$282.09$286.79	$299.99	+$4.70Timeline
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No	93.0¢—	270	$250.86$252.83	$269.68	+$1.97Timeline