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@Parallel-Manager

Expert in

First trade Mar 12, 20260x299a…e6d6View on PolymarketUpdated 65d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 73rd pct
Edge: 45th pct
Win Rate: 28th pct
Max Drawdown: 87th pct
Consistency: 87th pct
Track Record: 26th pct

Volume traded

$12,161.41

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

45.0%

Fees charged: $8.08
Fee refunds: $6.48
Fees paid: $1.60
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $92.84

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-13 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

20 total

Market				To win
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026? No positionClosed	62.8¢—	456	$286.58—	—	+$95.71Timeline
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	287	$243.54—	—	-$25.91Timeline
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026? No positionClosed	72.0¢—	290	$208.39—	—	-$33.30Timeline
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No positionClosed	76.0¢—	2,718	$2,065.67—	—	+$8.05Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? No positionClosed	67.1¢—	2,710	$1,818.68—	—	+$127.24Timeline
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	52.0¢—	203	$105.77—	—	-$17.65Timeline
Iran leadership change by June 30? No positionClosed	33.0¢—	609	$201—	—	+$8.20Timeline
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	28.6¢—	664	$190.08—	—	-$10.84Timeline
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? No positionClosed	88.0¢—	129	$113.64—	—	-$13.44Timeline
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	67	$40—	—	-$9.60Timeline