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@PancraceRoyer

Expert in

Category 72%Category 72%Category 72%

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#902on leaderboard A99.0trader grade Swing Trader

First trade Jan 28, 20260x29d3…b2edView on PolymarketUpdated 1d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 98th pct
Edge: 88th pct
Win Rate: 79th pct
Max Drawdown: 94th pct
Consistency: 78th pct
Downside Risk: 90th pct
Track Record: 85th pct

Volume traded

$1,902,581.98

Predictions

633

Rank

#902

Win rate

61.7%

Fees charged: $1,766.77
Fee refunds: $414.83
Fees paid: $1,351.94
Maker rebates: $270.56
Taker rebates: $33.89
Net realized P&L: $83,256.49

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 04:02:34 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

639 total

Market				To win
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No	84.0¢—	1,000	$839.99$884.99	$999.99	+$45.00Timeline
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes	20.9¢16.8¢	4,000	$837.99$670	$4,000	-$167.99Timeline
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No	82.2¢—	445	$365.97$380.73	$445.30	+$14.76Timeline
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes	42.0¢29.5¢	1,000	$420$295	$1,000	-$125.00Timeline
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes	54.0¢47.5¢	3,000	$1,619.89$1,424.94	$2,999.87	-$194.95Timeline
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No	67.0¢—	240	$160.97$185	$240.26	+$24.03Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No	93.0¢—	10,000	$9,300$9,755	$10,000	+$455.00Timeline
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes	29.2¢15.5¢	4,000	$1,167.11$619.99	$3,999.94	-$547.12Timeline
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No	89.0¢—	200	$178$192.40	$200	+$14.40Timeline
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes	63.3¢65.5¢	4,500	$2,849.98$2,947.49	$4,499.99	+$97.51Timeline