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@Otik

Expert in

First trade Dec 29, 20250xbd88…76fcView on PolymarketUpdated 11d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 34th pct
Edge: 3rd pct
Win Rate: 22nd pct
Consistency: 14th pct
Downside Risk: 54th pct
Track Record: 82nd pct

Volume traded

$252,328.18

Predictions

430

Rank

—

Win rate

25.8%

Fees charged: $230.86
Fee refunds: $226.73
Fees paid: $4.12
Maker rebates: $1.99
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$681.33

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 22:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

430 total

Market				To win
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-03-01? No positionClosed	15.0¢—	9	$1.37—	—	-$1.37Timeline
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026? No positionClosed	2.9¢—	9,429	$273.44—	—	-$6.56Timeline
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africa No positionClosed	4.0¢—	6,138	$245.52—	—	-$4.91Timeline
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026? No positionClosed	8.0¢—	2,338	$187.04—	—	-$2.12Timeline
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	10.0¢—	75	$7.50—	—	-$5.00Timeline
Will US or Israel strike Iran first? No positionClosed	60.0¢—	33	$20—	—	+$2.00Timeline
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? No positionClosed	0.1¢—	2,000,000	$2,000—	—	-$2.00Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	7.0¢—	1,022	$71.43—	—	-$4.07Timeline
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026? No positionClosed	28.0¢—	92	$25.71—	—	+$11.84Timeline
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET No positionClosed	30.0¢—	10	$3—	—	-$3.00Timeline