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@Orrickc

Expert in

First trade Nov 29, 20250xf886…c02fView on PolymarketUpdated 24d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 7th pct
Edge: 32nd pct
Win Rate: 78th pct
Consistency: 55th pct
Track Record: 33rd pct

Volume traded

$40,551.16

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

75.0%

Fees charged: $6.49
Fee refunds: $3.72
Fees paid: $2.78
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$13,485.92

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

29 total

Market				To win
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No	79.0¢—	4	$3$3.55	$3.80	+$0.55Timeline
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner No positionClosed	66.0¢—	30	$20—	—	+$10.30Timeline
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? No positionClosed	84.5¢—	8	$7.14—	—	+$1.10Timeline
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No positionClosed	67.0¢—	10	$7—	—	-$7.00Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET No positionClosed	56.7¢—	47	$26.93—	—	+$11.65Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET No positionClosed	76.3¢—	35	$26.67—	—	+$6.32Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET No positionClosed	75.5¢—	36	$26.97—	—	+$6.61Timeline
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET No positionClosed	64.6¢—	49	$31.75—	—	+$11.23Timeline
Spread: Raptors (-22.5) No positionClosed	47.0¢—	93	$43.48—	—	-$43.48Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	7	$7.03—	—	+$0.03Timeline