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@Orielul

Expert in

First trade Dec 16, 20250xb6a7…2e3cView on PolymarketUpdated 31d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 41st pct
Edge: 3rd pct
Win Rate: 20th pct
Consistency: 33rd pct
Track Record: 20th pct

Volume traded

$10,673.13

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

40.0%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$289.23

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 16:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

16 total

Market				To win
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes	56.2¢29.5¢	4,808	$2,703.73$1,418.31	$4,807.82	-$1,285.43Timeline
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? No positionClosed	71.4¢—	196	$140.03—	—	-$3.78Timeline
Maduro out in 2025? No positionClosed	95.0¢—	111	$105.26—	—	-$1.24Timeline
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? No positionClosed	90.0¢—	123	$111.11—	—	-$11.69Timeline
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	138	$117.65—	—	-$23.53Timeline
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? No positionClosed	87.0¢—	132	$114.94—	—	+$1.15Timeline
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? No positionClosed	67.0¢—	223	$149.25—	—	-$0.00Timeline
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? No positionClosed	86.0¢—	135	$116.28—	—	+$4.65Timeline
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? No positionClosed	62.0¢—	260	$161.29—	—	+$3.35Timeline
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? No positionClosed	34.0¢—	865	$294.12—	—	-$95.59Timeline