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@Optimal-Hydrocarb

Expert in

First trade May 20, 20260xd22c…881fView on PolymarketUpdated 93d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 30th pct
Edge: 33rd pct
Win Rate: 100th pct
Consistency: 74th pct
Downside Risk: 16th pct
Track Record: 98th pct

Volume traded

$159,944.30

Predictions

5,120

Rank

—

Win rate

98.2%

Fees charged: $200.85
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $200.85
Maker rebates: $38.26
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,008.61

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-16 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

5,120 total

Market				To win
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	93.7¢—	1,672	$1,566.95—	—	-$1.35Timeline
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	82.6¢—	1,712	$1,414.10—	—	-$8.53Timeline
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	16.1¢—	7,577	$1,219.88—	—	+$0.45Timeline
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	6.6¢—	10,818	$713.96—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? No positionClosed	43.0¢—	36	$15.30—	—	-$1.84Timeline
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	37.0¢—	1,476	$545.97—	—	-$10.92Timeline
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	36.0¢—	1,134	$408.27—	—	-$4.08Timeline
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	423	$355.29—	—	-$69.45Timeline
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 No positionClosed	30.0¢—	773	$231.89—	—	+$0.40Timeline
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	27.0¢—	1,298	$350.55—	—	+$10.52Timeline