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@OntheHedge

Expert in

Category 72%Category 72%Category 72%

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#2736on leaderboard A98.2trader grade0% edgeDirectional

First trade Dec 28, 20250x6f71…b80eView on PolymarketUpdated 2h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 87th pct
Edge: 43rd pct
Win Rate: 98th pct
Max Drawdown: 99th pct
Consistency: 84th pct
Downside Risk: 78th pct
Track Record: 93rd pct

Volume traded

$323,746.90

Predictions

1,600

Rank

#2,736

Win rate

92.6%

Fees charged: $48.85
Fee refunds: $29.72
Fees paid: $19.13
Maker rebates: $10.25
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: $2,444.03

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-14 04:36:01 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

1,599 total

Market				To win
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes	38.4¢54.2¢	500	$191.82$270.74	$499.97	+$78.91Timeline
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? No	69.0¢—	1	$0.95$1.05	$1.38	+$0.10Timeline
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes	78.0¢68.5¢	100	$78$68.50	$100	-$9.50Timeline
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No	88.9¢—	100	$88.90$76.25	$100	-$12.65Timeline
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes	58.5¢52.1¢	100	$58.50$52.05	$100	-$6.45Timeline
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No	56.5¢—	100	$56.50$43.50	$100	-$13.00Timeline
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	72.3¢—	400	$289.09$303.39	$399.98	+$14.30Timeline
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No	91.3¢—	200	$182.60$195.30	$200	+$12.70Timeline
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No	63.0¢—	10	$6.30$1.20	$10	-$5.10Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes	53.0¢12.5¢	50	$26.50$6.25	$50	-$20.25Timeline

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Insights

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Hourly Performance

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P&L and win rate broken down by hour of day.

Performance Breakdown

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Win rates, P&L, and edge across market categories, hold times, and hours of the day.

Pro analysis

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Comparative benchmarks, profit drivers, entry price analysis, and market preferences.

Wallet funding

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pUSD · Polygon · 7 days

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@OntheHedge

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@OntheHedge

Why this trader grades A

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