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@ORIGK84

Expert in

First trade Mar 3, 20260x1a6d…8bb0View on PolymarketUpdated 23d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 41st pct
Edge: 18th pct
Win Rate: 30th pct
Consistency: 23rd pct
Track Record: 28th pct

Volume traded

$3,759.30

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

45.5%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$261.89

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 02:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

22 total

Market				To win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	51.0¢—	100	$51—	—	+$49.00Timeline
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? No positionClosed	40.0¢—	150	$60—	—	-$60.00Timeline
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? No positionClosed	47.7¢—	176	$83.91—	—	+$31.85Timeline
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	64.7¢—	42	$26.97—	—	-$17.44Timeline
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	64.1¢—	107	$68.61—	—	+$24.61Timeline
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? No positionClosed	35.0¢—	286	$100—	—	-$100.00Timeline
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? No positionClosed	65.4¢—	280	$183.43—	—	+$63.25Timeline
US forces enter Iran by April 30? No positionClosed	59.0¢—	34	$20.34—	—	+$8.34Timeline
US forces enter Iran by March 31? No positionClosed	39.9¢—	63	$25.06—	—	-$5.74Timeline
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? No positionClosed	32.5¢—	625	$203.28—	—	-$54.27Timeline