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@Normal-Cone

Expert in

First trade Dec 2, 20250xe00a…b095View on PolymarketUpdated 4d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 57th pct
Edge: 48th pct
Win Rate: 3rd pct
Consistency: 10th pct
Downside Risk: 18th pct
Track Record: 51st pct

Volume traded

$39,215.32

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

6.1%

Fees charged: $2.35
Fee refunds: $0.54
Fees paid: $1.81
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$15.74

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-09 12:03:07 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

62 total

Market				To win
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	97.6¢—	293	$286.40—	—	-$1.11Timeline
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	97.5¢—	588	$573.64—	—	-$1.58Timeline
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.0¢—	291	$287.69—	—	-$0.12Timeline
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	288	$287.69—	—	-$0.04Timeline
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	289	$288.49—	—	-$0.32Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	290	$288.49—	—	-$0.06Timeline
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.7¢—	585	$577.79—	—	-$0.30Timeline
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	294	$288.99—	—	-$0.51Timeline
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	292	$289.30—	—	-$0.09Timeline
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No positionClosed	99.1¢—	293	$290.59—	—	-$0.29Timeline