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@Nice-Shade

Expert in

First trade Feb 8, 20260xad12…b115View on PolymarketUpdated 80d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 12th pct
Edge: 51st pct
Win Rate: 69th pct
Consistency: 66th pct
Downside Risk: 19th pct
Track Record: 77th pct

Volume traded

$51,773.80

Predictions

273

Rank

—

Win rate

56.5%

Fees charged: $138.37
Fee refunds: $12.51
Fees paid: $125.85
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $10
Net realized P&L: -$6,104.75

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

272 total

Market				To win
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 NoClosed	79.2¢0.0¢	3,650	$2,890.23$0	—	+$0.00Timeline
FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug? No positionClosed	77.5¢—	3,476	$2,695.05—	—	+$151.46Timeline
FDA approves Ionis' Olezarsen? No positionClosed	95.5¢—	1,025	$978.49—	—	+$0.00Timeline
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No positionClosed	93.0¢—	538	$500—	—	+$33.50Timeline
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	96.3¢—	645	$621.21—	—	+$22.99Timeline
Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	98.0¢—	104	$102—	—	+$2.04Timeline
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M? No positionClosed	85.0¢—	222	$188.35—	—	+$28.25Timeline
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	96.7¢—	67	$64.44—	—	+$2.13Timeline
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings? No positionClosed	98.2¢—	518	$509.06—	—	+$9.06Timeline
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301? No positionClosed	98.9¢—	51	$50.56—	—	+$0.56Timeline