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@Nautical-Stall

Expert in

First trade Jan 8, 20260x3c5d…1aaaView on PolymarketUpdated 4d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 18th pct
Edge: 3rd pct
Win Rate: 20th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 28th pct
Track Record: 31st pct

Volume traded

$152,864.62

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

36.0%

Fees charged: $490.69
Fee refunds: $172.15
Fees paid: $318.54
Maker rebates: $12.18
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$2,946.10

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-30 13:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

25 total

Market				To win
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No positionClosed	39.8¢—	503	$200—	—	-$200.00Timeline
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? No positionClosed	87.5¢—	2,696	$2,360—	—	-$1,687.36Timeline
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No positionClosed	31.7¢—	26,871	$8,512.77—	—	-$2,474.11Timeline
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	41.1¢—	776	$319.25—	—	-$319.25Timeline
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	25.0¢—	300	$75—	—	-$75.00Timeline
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	62.0¢—	500	$310—	—	-$310.00Timeline
Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	25.0¢—	250	$62.50—	—	-$62.50Timeline
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping? No positionClosed	7.8¢—	1,360	$106.24—	—	-$106.24Timeline
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No positionClosed	59.1¢—	2,351	$1,390—	—	-$168.39Timeline
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No positionClosed	4.2¢—	650,048	$27,367.04—	—	+$4,908.77Timeline