0 followers

@Mkntw

Expert in

First trade Mar 30, 20260xcf7d…68b8View on PolymarketUpdated 24d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 54th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 59th pct
Consistency: 19th pct
Track Record: 45th pct

Volume traded

$2,109.10

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

58.7%

Fees charged: $19.10
Fee refunds: $17.53
Fees paid: $1.57
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$27.37

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-05-10 00:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

46 total

Market				To win
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No positionClosed	82.7¢—	6	$5—	—	+$0.27Timeline
Thunder vs. Nuggets No positionClosed	66.8¢—	7	$4.89—	—	+$1.10Timeline
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	27	$18.63—	—	+$2.32Timeline
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? No positionClosed	81.4¢—	15	$12.45—	—	-$14.07Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? No positionClosed	86.0¢—	16	$13.81—	—	-$13.48Timeline
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? No positionClosed	71.4¢—	17	$12.21—	—	+$5.43Timeline
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	6	$5—	—	+$0.30Timeline
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? No positionClosed	84.0¢—	2	$1.89—	—	+$0.54Timeline
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? No positionClosed	82.0¢—	6	$5—	—	+$0.35Timeline
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m? No positionClosed	71.0¢—	10	$6.82—	—	+$3.59Timeline