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@Miniature-Soybean

Expert in

First trade Mar 11, 20250xb7b1…9283View on PolymarketUpdated 50d ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 23rd pct
Edge: 46th pct
Win Rate: 74th pct
Max Drawdown: 31st pct
Consistency: 48th pct
Track Record: 32nd pct

Volume traded

$14,873.14

Predictions

Rank

—

Win rate

73.1%

Fees charged: $0
Fee refunds: $0
Fees paid: $0
Maker rebates: $0
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,871.89

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-08-31 01:00:00 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

27 total

Market				To win
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No	99.4¢—	12	$12$12.03	$12.07	+$0.03Timeline
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No positionClosed	70.0¢—	7,274	$5,091.99—	—	-$1,725.10Timeline
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? No positionClosed	99.8¢—	138	$137.50—	—	+$0.28Timeline
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? No positionClosed	98.4¢—	121	$119.19—	—	+$1.07Timeline
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	118	$117.39—	—	+$0.59Timeline
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	118	$117.01—	—	+$0.23Timeline
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.2¢—	118	$117.18—	—	+$0.12Timeline
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No positionClosed	99.4¢—	128	$127—	—	-$0.13Timeline
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? No positionClosed	99.5¢—	40	$40—	—	+$0.20Timeline
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? No positionClosed	99.6¢—	13	$13—	—	+$0.05Timeline