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@MaxCarry

Expert in

First trade Jul 6, 20250xdc02…f89cView on PolymarketUpdated 4h ago · Sign up for real-time →

Each signal is a cohort percentile (higher beats more graded traders), de-noised for sample size. The SKILL grade is the weighted blend.

Realized P&L: 29th pct
Edge: 10th pct
Win Rate: 52nd pct
Consistency: 47th pct
Downside Risk: 48th pct
Track Record: 84th pct

Volume traded

$106,449.82

Predictions

545

Rank

—

Win rate

44.9%

Fees charged: $168.84
Fee refunds: $51.24
Fees paid: $117.60
Maker rebates: $21.81
Taker rebates: $0
Net realized P&L: -$1,121.93

All-time. Fees paid are after refunds and already included in P&L. Credited maker and taker rebates are added to P&L. Grades and tiers use net realized P&L. Observed 2026-09-16 21:58:57 UTC.

Net trading P&L

All-Time

526 total

Market				To win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes	54.0¢49.5¢	200	$108$99	$200	-$9.00Timeline
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Yes	42.0¢56.5¢	200	$84.09$113	$200	+$28.91Timeline
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? No positionClosed	38.7¢—	197	$76.05—	—	+$120.60Timeline
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	69.4¢—	3,088	$2,143.11—	—	+$483.21Timeline
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No positionClosed	40.5¢—	500	$202.47—	—	+$94.39Timeline
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No positionClosed	50.0¢—	200	$100—	—	-$76.00Timeline
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? No positionClosed	71.5¢—	1,400	$1,001—	—	-$118.88Timeline
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? No positionClosed	80.8¢—	200	$161.60—	—	+$38.40Timeline
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? No positionClosed	47.0¢—	200	$94—	—	-$2.49Timeline
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No positionClosed	52.1¢—	200	$104.16—	—	-$40.54Timeline